89° PRONOSTICO UFFICIALE - OFFICIAL TIP

Match Data:

INGHILTERRA - PREMIER LEAGUE

LIVERPOOL - WIGAN

21-04-2007 ore 16:00

http://www.premierleague.com/

http://www.liverpoolfc.tv/

http://www.wiganlatics.premiumtv.co.uk

Pronostico - Tip: LIVERPOOL vincente

Possibilità di copertura in live: Sì Bet365

Fiducia - Stake: 7/10

Quota - Odd: 1,44 Totesport

Unità da giocare - Units to Bet: 10

Motivazione:

• "Liverpool have played Wigan in the Premiership 3 times. Liverpool have won all 3, scoring 8 and not conceeding. Liverpool have only conceeded 5 goals at home all season. Lpool have played 17 home games this season, winning 13 of them. 11 of those 13 wins were won by 2 goals or more. Liverpool are guaranteed Champions League Football nxt season if they beat Wigan. Wigan have lost every single game against Liverpool, Arsenal, Man Utd and Chelsea since being in the Premiership. Losing 4 times against Man Utd, Arsenal and Chelsea and 3 times against Liverpool. Odds of 61/50, well worth it IMO.
• Liverpool look set to rest some of their key players in preparation for their Champions League tie with Chelsea, but I expect the core of the Liverpool first team to be here, especially Stevie G. Liverpool's home form has been superb, winning 13 from 17, losing just once (to Manchester United). They have conceded just 5 goals in all of those 17 games, and they have scored a massive 35 (ie. more than 2 goals per game). Therefore, I expect Wigan to lie down and die today. Wigan have lost 9 from 17 away games, and their record against Liverpool is poor. They have played Liverpool 3 times in the Premier League history, and they have yet to score one goal against the Reds. They lost all 3 by a total of 8 goals. With Liverpool looking to cement third spot, and Gerrard looking to add to the 2 goals he scored in midweek... Liverpool should prove too much for relegation haunted Wigan. Before tough Championshiop clash with Chelsea in midweek,Liverpool is hosting Wigan who is struggling to survive.Liverpool is incredibly good at home this season.They win 13 games in 16 matches and only 1 loss. Also they scored 35 and conceeded only 5. Their place is safe for the Champions League but they're in a competition with Arsenal for the third place. Liverpool is 64 points and Arsenal is 62.On the other hand,Craig Bellamy and Xabi Alonso are returning to the team.This affects the offensive part of the team positively.I think Rafa Benitez wants from his team to score early and take the rest of the match easily.Because Wigan will force his capacity to get points and Liverpool've an important match in midweek.Benitez can want to break Wigan's enthusiasm wtih early goals.Wigan is only above 3 points from the relegation zone and they need points urgently.Although they got 1 point from Tottenham,but it is more difficult to get point at Anfield.Besides, Wigan has problems in defence.They conceeded 8 goals in their last four matches.Liverpool can score easily to this defence.Lastly,winger Lee McCulloch and defender David Unsworth are major doubts.Midfielder Antonio Valencia serves the second game of a three-match ban and Chris Kirkland and Fitz Hall are out.I'm confident about Liverpool's victory at home and i'll give the -1,25 ball away here.
• Liverpool goes into this match knowing that nothing that a win will do as they have a good record with Wigan and have just beaten Middlesbrough 2-0 at home in their last match.Liverpool heads into this match with a fantastic record against Paul Jewell's boys since the start of the Premiership and no doubt will aim to carry that on once again when they clash at Anfield. The visitors heads into this match in poor form as they have not won in their last six games. They are just three points off the drop zone as it is now.But with next week's Champions League tie with Chelsea to come, you can expect Liverpool's Rafa Benitez to shuffle his lineup once again. Craig Bellamy is hoping to start this match after returning from injury while Dirk Kuyt is also pushing for a start after coming as as a substitute against Boro. Meanwhile Xabi Alonso has recovered from a thigh injury and should start this match as well.For Wigan they will not have former Liverpool goalkeeper Chris Kirkland in goal as he has been ruled out for the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. Another absentee is Fitz Hall with a knee injury. Lee McCulloch will wait for a late fitness test as he has not fully recovered from a knee injury. David Unsworth is unlikely to start due to a groin strain while Antonio Valencia is missing through suspension.Go for the Reds to win at home here and clear the handicap here.
• It is important for Liverpool to win this match and to gain more confidence before Wednesday Champions league first leg with Chelsea, but it hard to believe that Benitez will be able to motivate his players. Even Champions league football for the next season is not secured in theory, Liverpool is third and it would need a miracle to move them to fifth place. Wigan is just three points above Charlton and they are not safe at all. Relegation is possibility and they will have to give their best to avoid it. They are without a win in last 6 matches, and against Reds they will not be able to count on Kirkland, Valencia and Hall. The only adventage they have before the Anfield match is motivation. While Liverpool do not have anything to play for, for Wigan it is the one of the most important matches in the league. The main question in this match is will Reds will start with their best team. Benitez will certainly rest some players as he usually does, while all fielded players will try to keep themselves out of injury problems in order to be fit for Chelsea. "

FrankBanfi